Perhaps, the biggest misconception about day trading is that success can be measured in spectacular profits. Yet, just the opposite is true. The key to successful day trading (and successful living in general) is in avoiding major losses. And while every trader loses money from time to time, the key is to minimize those losses. After all, one or two really bad days can wipe out the profits of 3-4 weeks of good trading.
Furthermore, major losses keep you from making money in the future. The less capital you have to work with, the less you will have available for trading. Therefore, one of the keys to success is to preserve your capital base. How do you avoid major losses? Some people would suggest that you set a stop loss order on every trade. In other words, whenever you buy a stock, you place a sell order for those shares if the stock reaches a certain point (say a loss of $0.10 per share). However, the problem with setting stop losses is that you very often will get “stopped out” in potentially profitable situations.
For example, if you set a $0.10 stop loss, you will often have times when you buy the stock at $10.00 and it immediately falls to $9.90, only to rebound within minutes to $10.50. In this case, even though the stock rises $0.50 in a matter of minutes, you don’t make any money. Instead, you lose money when your position is stopped out at $9.90. This kind of thing happens all of the time to people who set stop losses.
So what’s the alternative? Stay at your post. Yes, it’s that simple. Instead of relying on an automatic computer trade, you want to constantly assess and re-assess the situation. Have the support and resistance levels changed? What are the market makers doing? What major news has been released about the company? This is the only reliable way to determine if a drop in price is a normal fluctuation or the beginning of a major downward shift in the direction of the stock.
Now, am I suggesting that you glue yourself in front of your computer never taking any time to stretch your legs, eat a meal or go to the restroom? YES; at least when you have money on the line. When you have an open position, you should watch it like a hawk. After all, you can do these other things during the vast majority of the day when you don’t have an open position.
If you are like most traders, you will do most of your trading during the first 1½ hours of the morning and the last 1 hour of the day. That leaves 4 hours when the market is relatively slow; not to mention the rest of the entire day. Given that you only have money on the line for a small amount of time, why would you use this time to do anything else but watch over it carefully?
After all, you wouldn’t want to be riding on a bus with a driver who decided to get up and, say, go for a bathroom break in the middle of left turn, would you? Likewise, you wouldn’t want to have your hair cut by a stylist who was busy wolfing down a cheeseburger and talking on her cell phone while simultaneously cutting your hair, would you? Well, shouldn’t your hard-earned money get the same consideration. While you have it in the market, your first priority should be to shepherd it, guide it and bring it home safely.
That being said, there are going to be times when situations arise that will take your attention away from the market. For instance, let’s say that you get a call from your child’s school telling you that she has come down with a stomach ache. In that case, I don’t expect you to tell your child, “Suck it up, Mommy’s trading!”
Obviously, in that case, you must shift your focus to what’s really important. However, I am suggesting that before you head off to the school, you close out any open positions, even if you have to take a small loss to do so.
Now, I know you’re thinking that I’m being overcautious. After all, it’s just a ten-minute roundtrip to your child’s school. Why take a loss on a trade that looks so promising? Because the risk simply isn’t worth the reward.
If you close out your position, the worst thing that can happen is that you lose out on the opportunity to earn a modest profit. Alternatively, if you leave the position open while you pick up your child, chat with the nurse, and then run into the pharmacy for some Pepto Bismol, you run the risk of catastrophic losses. In that case, your child’s stomach ache is going to pale in comparison to your “wallet ache.”
You simply can’t afford to leave your post during the heat of battle. Therefore, whenever you have money in the market, be vigilant. And when you can’t be vigilant, don’t have money in the market. It’s just not worth the risk.
Fausto Pugliese. President and Founder of Cyber Trading University.